Research Reports
These reports are not commentary. They are deterministic decision frameworks used to allocate capital with asymmetric upside and defined stop conditions. They tell you when a story matters and when it’s over.
We do three things, and only three:
- Quantify outcomes. Bull / base / bear with explicit % probabilities and expected value.
- Set failure. Clear invalidation triggers — not opinions. “Wrong” is defined in ink.
- Expose timing. Cycle context, liquidity runway, dev momentum, so you might act before it’s priced.
If you prefer narrativized hope, there’s Twitter. If you want clarity, join.
What every report gives you (no exceptions)
• EV table weighted outcomes with math you can audit.
• Invalidation rules exact price/time conditions that kill the thesis.
• Peer-positioning which baskets matter and why.
• Liquidity & unlocks precise overhang sizing and timing.
• Developer traction measurable activity trends, not hand-waving.
• Public retrospective we publish misses and explain them.
This is accountability, not marketing.
Output schedule (compounding advantage)
- Analyst: 5 institutional reports/week → 420+ by month 12
- Insider: Analyst + 5 insider-voted reports/week → 684+ by month 12
The archive compounds your edge. Join early or pay later.
Now decide
You either get this, or you don’t.
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This is education, not advice. We map probabilities. You choose how to act.